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Unlocking Unicorns: What Stanford Research Reveals About VC Portfolio Strategy

  • Professor Ilya Strebulaev's research, the Unicorn Update Alert, ranks top unicorn investors like Sequoia and Andreessen Horowitz.
  • Question arises about success denominator for top firms in VC portfolios - how many failed investments?
  • Statistical odds of seed-stage startups reaching unicorn status are low, highlighting extremely high failure rates.
  • Large VC portfolios increase chances of hitting unicorns due to the 'law of large numbers'.
  • Differences in risk and return between early-stage and late-stage venture investments.
  • Six elite firms excel in early-stage investing with unicorn hit rates far above industry average.
  • The data emphasizes the consolidation of LP dollars with large venture firms for risk management and expected outcomes.
  • Emerging managers face challenges in proving their ability to consistently find and win top deals.
  • Focus on building a balanced portfolio for emerging managers to compete in the industry.
  • Historical outcomes show diversity in successful investment strategies with no one-size-fits-all approach in venture.

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