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"A repeat of the autonomous car hype-cycle of a decade ago is on the cards"

  • Tesla's recently unveiled robotaxis are part of a wave of renewed enthusiasm for self-driving cars, but autonomous vehicles will not solve the problems faced by our transport systems.
  • Self-driving cars, such as Tesla's robotaxis, are pushing to expand on-road tests, but they won't solve the problems of traffic, road deaths, transport inequity, and other problems facing cities.
  • Tesla's CEO Elon Musk admitted that robotaxis won't enter production until 2026, if he can keep up with his promised timeline.
  • The hype surrounding self-driving cars a decade ago failed to materialize when the technology didn't advance to that level and widespread job losses didn't materialise.
  • The hype surrounding self-driving cars in the mid-2010s and today are both times when the hype around artificial intelligence and automation were rising, creating an environment where it's easy to sell a similar story of the inevitability of self-driving cars.
  • Self-driving cars were never supposed to coexist alongside public transit, rather they were intended to replace everything the status quo had to offer.
  • The automated vehicles were meant to solve problems such as traffic, road deaths, transport inequity, and other problems facing cities. However, these benefits failed to materialise.
  • The world needs to deal with the underlying, political problems that cause deaths on our roads and time wasted in traffic and wait times for infrequent buses.
  • Difficult political choices regarding transportation are required, rather than holding out false hope that a quick fix of new technology can alleviate the problems.
  • A repeat of the autonomous car hype-cycle of a decade ago is on the cards, fueled by Musk's announcements and others' press regarding development and testing of self-driving cars.

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