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Africa ends decade of distress as risk spreads fall

  • For the first time in a decade, no African country has a sovereign risk premium in distress territory, marking an improvement in debt metrics.
  • The era of widespread debt distress due to cheap borrowing and fiscal policies during the Covid pandemic saw defaults in countries like Zambia, Ghana, Malawi, and Ethiopia.
  • Inflation has moderated, countries like Zambia and Ghana have restructured debt, and IMF rescue packages have led to reforms in Sub-Saharan Africa.
  • While overall risk premiums have improved continent-wide, challenges remain with countries like Ethiopia in default and individual bonds like Senegal's showing signs of distress.

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