Bitcoin is currently trading around $104,781, testing its 200 EMA on the 4-hour chart at $104,861.
BTC is in a descending triangle pattern, with lower highs as resistance and a support zone near $103,343.
The RSI is around 45, indicating neutral momentum with no bullish divergence and weak price action near the triangle's lower edge.
A failure to hold above $103,343 could lead to a quick drop towards $100,000, a key psychological support with potential for further correction to $97,000–$95,000.
Alternatively, a bounce from the 200 EMA or a breakout above $107,000–$109,000 could negate the bearish scenario, targeting retests of $110,000 and new highs above $112,000.
For traders, a short setup involves entering on a breakdown below $103,300 with targets at $100,000 and $97,000 and a stop-loss at $105,800.
On the other hand, a long setup entails entering on a confirmed breakout above $107,000 with targets at $109,000 and $112,000 and a stop-loss at $104,000.