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Bitcoin Treasury Firms Are This Cycle’s Bubble, Experts Warn

  • A debate has arisen over publicly traded companies adopting Bitcoin-centric treasury strategies, with some likening them to a speculative mania disguised as corporate ventures.
  • Critics argue that these companies are essentially creating shares to sell to investors looking to outperform Bitcoin, without offering much besides exposure to BTC as their main product.
  • Concerns have been raised about the long-term sustainability of these companies, suggesting that they may eventually be forced to sell their Bitcoin holdings, leading to potential losses for investors.
  • While some support the idea of companies accumulating Bitcoin using profits from real economic value generation, others caution against excess reliance on leveraging debt to buy Bitcoin.
  • The debate over the structure of institutional exposure to Bitcoin intensifies, with experts discussing the potential risks and bubbles emerging in financial instruments and leverage surrounding Bitcoin.
  • MicroStrategy's Q1 2025 earnings call prompted discussions on the reasons for certain companies maintaining a premium to net asset value, indicating a broader context of large capital allocators unable to hold Bitcoin directly due to regulatory constraints.
  • The current landscape includes a growing number of public companies accumulating Bitcoin, with some drawing intense retail speculation and trading at multi-billion-dollar valuations.
  • However, concerns persist over the reliance on issuing new equity at inflated valuations to fund Bitcoin purchases, creating a potentially precarious cycle that could reverse in a market downturn.
  • The sustainability of the model adopted by these Bitcoin treasury companies remains in question, as experts debate whether they represent innovation, opportunism, or a looming bubble in the making.
  • The ultimate verdict on whether these new class of treasury companies will weather the storm or face a burst bubble is one of the critical questions of the ongoing Bitcoin cycle.
  • At the time of reporting, Bitcoin was trading at $103,709.

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