Realized Cap HODL Waves is an adaptation of HODL waves that provides insights by weighting age bands using realized price - Bitcoin's cost basis held in wallets at any given time.
Short-term hold of six months and below make up 80% of total realized cap during market peaks.
Bitcoin's behavior is cyclical, and the chart gives insights to navigate Bitcoin's price cycles.
Realized Cap HODL Waves is an invaluable tool to understand Bitcoin's price cycles and manage risk during bullish and bearish cycles.
Bitcoin ETFs reduce the number of active on-chain addresses and transactions, making young age bands underrepresented and old age bands overrepresented in BTC.
Increased adoption via ETFs could lead to more significant price movements that are less directly visible in on-chain data.
Investors can use the Realized Cap HODL Waves chart to gauge market sentiment, cycle timing and strategic positioning.
At the current level of around 55%, plenty of upside potential is available for Bitcoin before it reach the overheated territory seen near 80%.
Combining on-chain indicators with ETF inflow data and other metrics, investors can gain comprehensive understanding of Bitcoin's price dynamics in this new era.
This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.