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Image Credit: Bloomberg Quint

China’s Offshore Yuan Hits Record Low After PBOC Eases Grip

  • China's offshore yuan reached a record low following a loosening of restrictions by China and increased US tariffs on Chinese goods.
  • The offshore yuan dropped to 7.4290 per dollar, the lowest since the inception of the offshore yuan market in 2010.
  • This depreciation is seen as a strategy by China to boost its exports amid trade tensions, risking backlash and market volatility.
  • President Trump's threats of additional tariffs have added to the uncertainty, with China vowing to fight back.
  • Analysts predict a further yuan devaluation, but the PBOC aims to maintain stability and offset negative shocks.
  • Options traders expect increased yuan depreciation, but drastic devaluation may hinder capital outflows and investor confidence.
  • The PBOC has tools to manage market volatility and is likely to gradually introduce more flexible FX policies after tariff escalations.
  • Amid escalating tensions, the yuan's decline reflects market concerns and potential future policy shifts by China.
  • There are expectations for continued yuan flexibility and PBOC intervention to preserve stability and potentially resume monetary easing.
  • The outlook remains uncertain as traders speculate on China's next moves and the impact on global markets amidst the evolving trade conflict.

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