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Early Movers, Big Payoffs: Why the Best Returns Go to the First Believers

  • Meta's $15 billion bet on Scale AI positions it at the core of AI's future by owning the infrastructure that powers AI systems.
  • Early believers like Peter Thiel's Founders Fund and others bet on quiet, foundational layers of tech for long-term compounding returns.
  • Investments in infrastructure like AWS, Snowflake, and Nvidia's GPUs led to outsized returns as these technologies became essential.
  • Microsoft and OpenAI's early strategic moves in foundational tech have resulted in significant value creation.
  • Lessons include backing foundational shifts early, embracing complexity, practicing patience for compounding returns, and controlling critical layers.
  • Early access to talent and insights in emerging infrastructure spaces can provide hidden advantages for both investors and founders.
  • Success in tech, especially AI, comes from spotting opportunities early, taking risks, and holding through uncertainty.
  • The article emphasizes the importance of understanding and investing in foundational technologies for long-term success in the tech industry.
  • It highlights the significance of early believers in shaping the future of technology by recognizing hidden opportunities.
  • The examples provided underscore the value of identifying and supporting infrastructure-building companies for substantial returns.

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