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HinduBusinessLine

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Economists see downside risks to growth, expect MPC to go for deeper rate cuts

  • Economists forecast downside risks to India's growth, estimating a potential cut of 30-60 basis points for FY26.
  • Direct impact of the higher tariffs on India's exports to the US is expected to be less severe, but weak global trade momentum and a slowdown in US growth may indirectly impact demand and corporate confidence.
  • The implementation of a trade deal by fall 2025 may help mitigate the downside risk from higher tariffs.
  • Economists expect the Monetary Policy Committee to cut rates by 25 basis points and change its stance to 'accommodative' to support domestic demand.

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