Economists forecast downside risks to India's growth, estimating a potential cut of 30-60 basis points for FY26.
Direct impact of the higher tariffs on India's exports to the US is expected to be less severe, but weak global trade momentum and a slowdown in US growth may indirectly impact demand and corporate confidence.
The implementation of a trade deal by fall 2025 may help mitigate the downside risk from higher tariffs.
Economists expect the Monetary Policy Committee to cut rates by 25 basis points and change its stance to 'accommodative' to support domestic demand.