In 2021, Ethereum saw a surge in transaction outflows as long-term holders cashed out near cycle highs, but current data shows no significant increase in ETH outflows in 2025.
Ethereum whales continue to hold onto their assets, indicating confidence in potential upside or a reluctance to prematurely exit despite price volatility and market conditions.
The decline in Ethereum's market dominance since 2020 has not impacted whale behavior significantly, with whale activity still correlating with Bitcoin's overall price trends.
Whale behavior on Ethereum serves as a reliable macro indicator for market cycle positioning and broader market sentiment, particularly when divergences emerge between ETH outflows and price movements.
The absence of significant whale exits amidst a potential double-top structure suggests the possibility of bullish continuation, with major holders showing no signs of profit-taking, although caution is advised if unexpected outflows spike.
Ethereum's alignment with Bitcoin's future movements is likely to persist given the ongoing correlation in transaction flow behavior between the two cryptocurrencies.
Overall, while the market structure resembles the 2021 top, current on-chain behavior indicates a more patient and potentially optimistic outlook as Ethereum whales have not started exiting yet.