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Goldman Sachs Raises US Recession Risk to 35% as Trump Tariff Plans Expand

  • Goldman Sachs raises 12-month US recession probability to 35% due to anticipated Trump tariffs
  • Average US tariff rate expected to rise 15 percentage points in 2025, leading to higher inflation
  • Goldman lowers 2025 GDP growth forecast to 1% and increases inflation projection to 3.5%
  • Trump plans to announce reciprocal tariffs averaging 15% on April 2, affecting Bitcoin and crypto markets

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