UBS has initiated coverage on IDFC First Bank with a 'neutral' rating, citing challenges in return on asset (ROA) due to high credit costs and operational expenditures.
The bank, post-merger with Capital First, has shifted focus to a retail franchise but faces limited upside potential in ROA, despite growth in retail/CASA deposits.
UBS identifies 5 key factors including a neutral risk-reward outlook, sector tailwinds supporting growth, stable net interest margin (NIM) amid loan mix shifts, high credit costs, and forecasts of sustained stress in business loans.
Shares of IDFC First Bank have seen a 7% rally in one month and 20% year-to-date, with UBS projecting a modest ROA of 1% by FY27.