The southwest monsoon rainfall is likely to be at 105% of the long-period average, according to the IMD forecast.
Above-normal rainfall is likely over most parts of the country except some parts of Northwest India and South Peninsular India, where below-normal rainfall is probable, according to the IMD.
A majority of models indicate a neutral El Niño Southern Oscillation condition is likely to continue during the monsoon. This scenario favours the monsoon conditions, according to the IMD.
The forecast spells a positive development for the economy amidst slowing growth and headwinds from retaliatory tariffs imposed by US President Donald Trump.