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Bloomberg Quint

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Indian Markets To See Sideway Movement In FY26, Says Jefferies; Banks, Realty To Outperform

  • Jefferies predicts a sideways movement in Indian markets for FY26 due to an expected decline in nominal GDP growth, impacting earning-per-share estimates.
  • India's nominal GDP growth is forecasted to drop to 9% in FY26, the lowest since FY2004, while real GDP growth is expected to be healthy at 6.5% with lower inflation.
  • Weaker nominal GDP growth could lead to subdued corporate revenue growth and credit growth, affecting earnings momentum.
  • Jefferies anticipates banks and realty sectors to outperform in FY26, with the MSCI India Index showing an 8% return in January–December due to their strong performance.

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