India's auto exports to the US are expected to remain safe from tariffs, according to Vinod Aggarwal, CEO of Volvo Eicher Commercial Vehicles.
The recent 25% tariffs imposed by US President Trump are unlikely to significantly affect India's automobile sector, but there may be challenges in the component trade.
VECV, a joint venture between Volvo Group and Eicher Motors, has been operational since 2008, focusing on trucks and buses.
India's overall impact might be cushioned as these tariffs are not only targeted at India but also affect imports from other countries like China, Canada, and Mexico.
Aggarwal anticipates some impact on India's economy but believes it will not be significant due to strong domestic consumption.
In fiscal 2026, Aggarwal is confident in the continued strength of the bus segment, citing growth in state transport undertakings and demand from schools and staffing sectors.
He highlights a marginal growth in the commercial vehicle industry in FY25, with a drop in sales of heavy-duty trucks but a rise in demand for higher tonnage trucks.
Despite a decrease in unit numbers, the actual freight movement may be higher, attributed to migration towards higher tonnage trucks.
Aggarwal foresees growth in the bus segment driven by demand from schools, staffing, and state transport undertakings, indicating a positive outlook for fiscal 2026.
Demand from various segments like schools, staffing, and intercity travel is expected to keep the bus segment strong according to Aggarwal.