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India's exports to US could decline by $5.76B this year due to high tariffs: GTRI

  • India's merchandise exports to the US are expected to decline by $5.76 billion this year due to increased American duties on sectors like marine items, gold, electrical, and electronics.
  • The impact analysis by think tank GTRI suggests that India's competitive position in certain product segments could help mitigate some losses.
  • Textiles, apparel, ceramic products, inorganic chemicals, and pharmaceuticals sectors may experience modest gains despite the overall decrease in exports.
  • The US has imposed additional tariffs, including a 26% duty on Indian goods, affecting various sectors except for pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, and select energy goods.
  • In 2024, India exported goods worth $89.81 billion to the US, but the new tariffs are expected to reduce exports by significant percentages in different product categories.
  • Product groups such as fish, iron or steel articles, diamonds, gold products, vehicle parts, electrical, telecom, and electronic products could see notable declines.
  • High-value items like energy products, pharmaceuticals, and copper have been exempted from country-specific tariffs, but industrial goods like steel and automobiles will face a 25% tariff.
  • Electronics and smartphones from India facing a steep duty may result in a 12% decrease in exports to the US, impacting the country's ranking as a major supplier in this category.
  • Seafood exports from India could decline by 20.2% due to new tariffs, affecting the country's position as the third-largest seafood supplier to the US.
  • Similarly, exports of gold jewellery and cut and polished diamonds, vehicle and auto components are also projected to decrease significantly, impacting India's global trade.

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