India’s GDP growth is expected to be around 6% in the financial year 2026 due to the broader impact of US President Donald Trump’s tariff policy, according to Sonal Varma, chief economist at Nomura.
Although India's direct exposure to US tariffs is limited, the broader effects could be severe.
The direct impact of US tariffs on India is likely to cause a 20-30 basis point impact on GDP growth.
Varma also predicted a slowdown in the US, Europe, and Asia due to uncertainties over President Trump’s tariff policy.