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Likelihood of Major Asteroid Hitting Earth Just Got Upgraded Again

  • A recently discovered asteroid, 2024 YR4, has the highest odds of colliding with Earth to date, with a 2.6 percent chance of impact in 2032.
  • The odds have increased from 1-in-83 to 1-in-38, according to NASA data. The European Space Agency places the odds slightly lower, at 2.41 percent.
  • The estimated size of the asteroid is 130 to 300 feet in diameter, and the potential energy released upon impact could be equivalent to 7.7 megatonnes of TNT.
  • NASA plans to observe the asteroid in March with the James Webb Space Telescope to gather more information about its size and potential impact.

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