Nilesh Shah of Envision Capital anticipates minimal impact on India compared to other emerging markets amidst global market volatility.
The GDP growth in India may slip to around 6% from 6.5%, while larger economies like the US and China are expected to face more significant declines.
Shah highlights that market movements are influenced by sentiment and liquidity, which will be affected by uncertainty in the short term.
Unlike past crises, the current situation lacks unified responses, leading to heightened uncertainty and market freefall.
Shah predicts that markets tend to bottom out earlier than the final outcome, with valuations becoming attractive before complete resolution.
He suggests being constructive on the IT sector despite short-term challenges, emphasizing on sectors like domestic-focused businesses and infrastructure for growth.
Shah believes the government will increase infrastructure spending, offering opportunities in businesses supporting infrastructure projects.
In conclusion, Shah advises monitoring market movements closely, as valuations may reflect a base-case scenario before full resolution of ongoing events.