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Markets Tend To Bottom Out A Lot Earlier Than Outcome, Says Envision Capital's Nilesh Shah

  • Nilesh Shah of Envision Capital anticipates minimal impact on India compared to other emerging markets amidst global market volatility.
  • The GDP growth in India may slip to around 6% from 6.5%, while larger economies like the US and China are expected to face more significant declines.
  • Shah highlights that market movements are influenced by sentiment and liquidity, which will be affected by uncertainty in the short term.
  • Unlike past crises, the current situation lacks unified responses, leading to heightened uncertainty and market freefall.
  • Shah predicts that markets tend to bottom out earlier than the final outcome, with valuations becoming attractive before complete resolution.
  • He suggests being constructive on the IT sector despite short-term challenges, emphasizing on sectors like domestic-focused businesses and infrastructure for growth.
  • Shah believes the government will increase infrastructure spending, offering opportunities in businesses supporting infrastructure projects.
  • In conclusion, Shah advises monitoring market movements closely, as valuations may reflect a base-case scenario before full resolution of ongoing events.

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