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Measuring the Impact of LLMs on Experienced Developer Productivity

  • AI risk and benefit evaluation company METR conducted a randomized control test on experienced open source developers to analyze the impact of LLMs on productivity.
  • The study found that using LLM-based tools like Cursor Pro with Claude 3.5/3.7 Sonnet reduced productivity by approximately 19%.
  • The methodology focused on realistic scenarios, such as adding features, bug fixes, and refactoring tasks on code, mirroring developers' work on open source projects.
  • The study identified factors contributing to decreased productivity with LLMs, including over-optimism, interference with existing knowledge, poor performance on large codebases, and low reliability in code generation.

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