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More Spyware, Fewer Rules: What Trump’s Return Means for US Cybersecurity
- Donald Trump’s second term as president will be a breath of fresh air for spyware firms and hackers trying to break AI systems. Trump will eliminate or significantly curtail Biden’s efforts to restrict the spread of spyware, apply guardrails to AI, and combat online misinformation. The incoming Trump administration is likely to scrap Biden’s ambitious effort to impose cyber regulations on sectors of US infrastructure and focus on protecting critical infrastructure, government networks, and key industries from cyber threats.
- Trump’s election likely spells doom for CISA’s work to counter mis- and disinformation, especially around elections. Trump is also unlikely to continue the Biden administration’s campaign to limit the proliferation of commercial spyware technologies, which authoritarian governments have used to harass journalists, civil-rights protesters, and opposition politicians.
- Biden’s purity push in tech sector will be watered down. Policies requiring corporate responsibility, efforts to prevent hackers from abusing products, and proposals to make software vendors liable for damaging vulnerabilities are unlikely to receive strong support from the incoming Trump administration.
- Elements of Biden’s AI safety agenda that focus on AI’s social harms, like bias and discrimination, as well as his requirement for large AI developers to report to the government about their model training may be on the chopping block.
- Trump is likely to embrace a more muscular response against cyberattacks from foreign adversaries like Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea. The Trump administration may look more favorably on creating a separate military cyber service and take a more skeptical view of the joint leadership of Cyber Command and the National Security Agency.
- China could come under further constraints, with authorities already created during Trump’s first term to block the use of risky technology in the US. The Trump administration will look at the full set of policy levers when deciding how to push back on China in cyberspace.
- The final rule requiring CISA to create cyber incident reporting regulations for critical infrastructure operators could be revised to be more industry-friendly. New appointees could force this agency staff to rewrite the rules to be more industry-friendly.
- The secure-by-design campaign that encourages companies to create secure products will remain at most a rhetorical slogan under Trump’s administration.
- Trump will put emphasis on cyber strategies that benefit business interests, downplay human-rights concerns, and emphasize aggressive offense against the cyber armies of Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea.
- Trump will discard Biden’s efforts to impose cyber regulations on sectors of US infrastructure that currently lack meaningful digital-security safeguards.
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