NALCO's Q4 results showed a robust performance with a 148.7% increase in Ebitda YoY driven by higher alumina and aluminium realizations.
ICICI Securities expects future earnings to decline as alumina prices are expected to remain subdued due to increased supplies from China and India.
The brokerage foresees limited volume growth in the near term, with alumina prices expected to range between $350-$400/tonne.
Due to the perceived risk of future earnings decline, ICICI Securities downgraded NALCO to 'Hold' despite viewing the risk-reward balance as stable at the current market price.