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Negative Binance Funding Rates May Signal a Bitcoin Rebound

  • Binance funding rates on Bitcoin turned negative at -0.0033 after a sharp rebound from last weekend's lows.
  • Majority of open positions are short, indicating traders' skepticism towards the rally.
  • Market often moves against the crowd, presenting a contrarian signal as shorts get crowded.
  • Traders are usually biased towards long positions, making this funding rate shift significant.
  • Negative rates suggest a strong contrarian signal against the rally despite recent price strength.
  • Historical patterns show market movements against short positions following similar setups in the past.
  • In September 2024, Binance funding rates turned negative, with subsequent market moves to the upside.
  • Exception was seen only during a brief macro disruption tied to new U.S. tariff announcements.
  • Today's positioning may act as rocket fuel for Bitcoin if more short positions pile on.
  • Short liquidations could accelerate the upside as the squeeze builds in the coming days.

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