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New Bitcoin Risk Model Aims to Decode Market Cycles Through Liquidity and Behavior

  • Coutts has finalized the first version of his 'Bitcoin Cycle Risk Framework,' focusing on identifying critical phases of risk across Bitcoin's cycle.
  • The risk framework incorporates key market variables such as liquidity, leverage, and behavioral patterns to provide a clearer picture of Bitcoin's macro cycle.
  • The model tracks why Bitcoin moves and combines indicators like GRS, DRS, and NPRS to visualize market conditions and potential shifts in sentiment and risk appetite.
  • While not offering precise market timing, the model serves as a robust risk assessment tool for traders and analysts by helping understand when the market may be overextended or entering a period of heightened caution.

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