Research suggests that the next ice age would likely begin in about 10,000 years without human influence, based on Earth's orbital shifts and Milankovitch theory.
Milankovitch theory explains how variations in Earth's orbit and axial tilt impact climate through changes in sunlight distribution.
Orbital factors like axial tilt, precession, and eccentricity influence sunlight reaching high latitudes, shaping global climate.
Recent study in Science reanalyzed a million years of climate history, highlighting a predictable pattern in Earth's glacial cycles.
The study revealed a consistent correlation between Earth's orbital shifts and transitions between ice ages and interglacial periods.
While Earth would be on track for a stable warm period in 10,000 years, human-induced greenhouse gas emissions have disrupted this natural cycle.
Understanding past climate shifts helps refine climate models and predict future trends, offering insights into the impact of human activities.
The delicate balance of Earth's climate system emphasizes the significance of predicting and understanding natural climate rhythms.
By calibrating past changes, scientists aim to inform future climate predictions and address the long-term effects of human influence.
This research provides a clearer understanding of how human activities are altering Earth's climate over long timescales.