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Not All Disruptions Replace—Some Just Fork
- Not all new technologies are transformative and replace old methods. Some create forks, splitting the way things are done.
- Advancements like bicycles and mass production did not completely replace old methods but created a divergence in how tasks are carried out.
- Technological impact is often assessed based on efficiency, but factors like human nature and preferences can influence the adoption of new technologies.
- Quantum computers and Large Language Models (LLMs) are examples of emerging technologies that may lead to forks instead of complete replacements.
- Quantum computers, while promising in certain tasks like encryption, may not be suitable for all computing needs due to their 'overkill' parallel nature.
- LLMs, despite their transformative potential in content creation, may not excel in answering complex, data-driven questions due to the structured nature of human knowledge.
- Understanding the concept of forks in technology helps us manage expectations and leverage existing methods along with new innovations for better outcomes.
- Rather than expecting every new technology to revolutionize everything, it's crucial to recognize the instances where forks are created instead of complete transformations.
- By integrating new technologies with existing practices, we can achieve more effective and balanced outcomes in various fields.
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