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Oil at the Center as U.S. and Brazil Edge Toward a Trade War

  • Brazil is gearing up to protect its oil export sector as U.S. President Donald Trump threatens a 50% tariff on Brazilian imports effective August 1.
  • Oil is Brazil's top export to the U.S., exempt from the 10% tariff on other goods; concerns arise over the prospect of disruption but limited long-term damage.
  • Analysts suggest Petrobras, Brazil's largest oil producer, may remain largely unaffected by the tariffs as only a small portion of its exports go to the U.S.
  • Brazilian Petroleum Institute expresses concern and calls for diplomatic resolution; Brazil considers appealing to the World Trade Organization as it studies potential responses.

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