Citi expects oil prices to remain in the $60–70 per barrel range over the next 12–18 months, favoring India macroeconomically and sectorally.
Citi maintains a 'buy' rating on all three major OMCs after a challenging financial year in 2025, foreseeing significant improvement ahead.
While crude prices have declined due to trade conflicts and OPEC+ strategy changes, strong marketing margins from petrol and diesel can offset any LPG under-recoveries if crude stays below $70–75.
Refining margins have improved, leading to transparent earnings and attractive dividend yields, but the upstream side may face pressure due to lower oil prices impacting realisations.