The South African Reserve Bank (Sarb) may lower its inflation target to 3% with a possible 1% plus-or-minus tolerance band, down from the current 4.5% goal, at the upcoming policy meeting.
The Sarb governor Lesetja Kganyago mentioned that a review of the 3% to 6% inflation goal will be finalized soon, leveraging the country's current low price pressures.
Citigroup pointed out reasons why the central bank might proceed with adjusting the framework, such as low inflation expectations and the potential benefits of aiming for a 3% goal.
The adjustment to a lower inflation target could have positive impacts on public finances, and with price pressures expected to remain low, a shift now would allow the National Treasury time to incorporate it into the mid-term budget review in October.