Deutsche Bank Research predicts pressure on the peso due to the Philippines' sustained current account deficit caused by increasing infrastructure investments and higher capital good imports.
The current account deficit reached $4.25 billion in the first quarter, equivalent to 3.7% of the GDP, up from the previous year's 1.9%.
Large-scale infrastructure projects like the Metro Manila Subway, North-South Commuter Railway, and New Manila Airport contribute to the deficit, with the government targeting 5-6% of GDP for annual infrastructure spending.
Despite the positive impact on long-term prospects, the near-term FX pressure is expected to increase, with the BSP planning two rate cuts, leading to a recent decline in the peso's value.