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The Art of Being Less Wrong: Estimating in Data Projects

  • Estimation in data projects is about being less wrong rather than aiming to be right.
  • Four proven estimation methods are discussed in the context of building a modern data pipeline on Azure.
  • One method involves drawing estimates from past similar projects, such as ingesting data which took 4 weeks previously.
  • Another method involves doing calculations based on known metrics, like the time it takes to complete dbt models for dimension tables.
  • Using the PERT formula, a time estimate is derived for building a Delta Live Table pipeline, considering optimistic, pessimistic, and most likely scenarios.
  • Breaking down the project into smaller, manageable tasks allows for more accurate estimation by considering various factors like stage, predictability, uncertainty, and commitment levels.
  • Estimation is compared to a lens that helps in seeing more clearly, even if the end result may still be somewhat inaccurate.

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