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The Estimation Play: A Five-Act Tragedy in the Theater of Software Development

  • The article discusses software estimation as a theatrical production titled 'The Estimation Process.'
  • It highlights the challenge of providing precise estimates when facing uncertainty in software development.
  • Meetings, interruptions, and fragmentation during the development process contribute to underestimated timelines.
  • Estimates often become sacred artifacts that are used for judgment and control within organizations.
  • The pressure to meet estimated timelines leads to inaccurate predictions and distorted decision-making.
  • The disconnect between the reality of software development and corporate planning processes is emphasized.
  • Theatrics in corporate environments often prioritize governance over creativity and agility.
  • The article advocates for treating software development as exploration rather than an assembly line.
  • It suggests making smaller bets, adaptive strategies, and prioritizing delivery following discovery.
  • Ultimately, the focus is on empowering software teams to build effectively by rethinking the role of estimation in the process.

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