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The J-Curve Divergence: Standard VC vs. Deep Tech VC Performance

  • The J-curve depicts the performance of a VC fund over time, with an initial decline followed by exponential growth from successful investments.
  • Standard VC firms focus on high-growth potential ventures like software, internet, and consumer goods with faster development cycles.
  • Standard VC J-curves show steeper initial declines but quicker ascents due to faster exits and shorter development cycles.
  • Deep-tech VC firms invest in innovative ventures requiring significant R&D in fields like AI, biotechnology, and cleantech.
  • Deep Tech J-curves have deeper initial declines and prolonged growth phases due to complexities in deep-tech ventures and breakthrough science.
  • Factors beyond industry differences influence VC J-curve shapes, affecting the trajectory of returns for different types of VC firms.
  • Standard VC focuses on a broader range of companies with potentially lower returns, while deep-tech VC faces higher risks but offers higher return potential.
  • The evolving VC landscape, including advancements in AI and thematic VC firms, may blur the lines between standard VC and deep-tech VC.
  • Understanding the J-curve differences is crucial for investors and founders in making informed decisions about capital allocation and partnership choices.

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