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Twitter and TikTok users' election projections are completely warped. Here's why.
- X and TikTok users are making extreme assumptions about who could win the presidential election, based on extreme political views and rumors on fringe polls and purported campaign insider quotes.
- Experts say that people are more likely to believe extreme posts. Social media algorithms also perpetuate extreme content that creates extreme reactions.
- Platforms like Facebook and Instagram are attempting to lessen the influence of political speech, but X and TikTok are rapidly growing political influence ahead of the 2024 election.
- Political content on X is often pro-Trump, and its algorithms favor followers of Republican leaders, while half of 18-to-29-year-olds use TikTok to watch political content.
- Overconfident rhetoric on these apps about who may win the election could have dangerous implications .
- Posts that overstate the certainty of a blowout in one candidate's favor could lay the groundwork for broad support for challenging election results if the other side wins.
- An Election Integrity Community has been launched on X to report voter fraud and irregularities, an action that supporters of Trump have already been exploiting.
- Even Trump himself is encouraging people to vote early on the same app, a shift from last year, when he demonized mail-in voting.
- For those seeking an escape from the high-anxiety environment surrounding the election season, it may be best to limit social media consumption until it all blows over.
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