<ul><li>Bitcoin's volatility raises questions about its role as a safe haven asset in light of a 40% U.S. recession risk.</li><li>Trade tensions and macroeconomic uncertainty are putting pressure on both traditional and crypto markets.</li><li>Recent projections suggest a 40% likelihood of a U.S. recession in 2025, which could have profound effects on Bitcoin and the broader crypto markets.</li><li>Bitcoin's recent movements indicate that it is still influenced by macroeconomic forces, and the question remains whether it can decouple from traditional market behavior.</li></ul>

US Recession Likelihood at 40%—Here’s How Crypto Could React

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