Bitcoin price has been on a rollercoaster ride lately, with its value slipping under $100,000 during late U.S. trading hours before bouncing back slightly in early Asian hours.
The recent dip in Bitcoin's price can be attributed to a combination of macroeconomic signals and regulatory uncertainty.
The Federal Reserve's hints about potential rate cuts in 2025 initially created some market optimism, but this was quickly overshadowed by remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell, dampening investor sentiment.
This regulatory uncertainty, combined with market jitters over Trump's campaign promise to retain and possibly expand the government's seized Bitcoin holdings, has likely contributed to increased volatility.
The question of whether Bitcoin's price could crash to $40,000 hinges on a mix of macroeconomic factors, market sentiment, and regulatory uncertainty.
While Bitcoin's journey to $40,000 remains within the realm of possibility under worst-case scenarios, its resilience as a decentralized asset and ongoing demand as an inflation hedge make a crash of this magnitude improbable in the near future.
The next critical milestones will be clear guidance from the incoming administration and how markets react to evolving monetary and fiscal policies.
Investors should brace for heightened volatility but also recognize the opportunities that Bitcoin's price fluctuations may present in this uncertain environment.
The market's reaction to Trump's policies, particularly their inflationary effects, will be a key determinant.
Persisting inflation could erode confidence in traditional assets, potentially driving more interest in Bitcoin as an inflation hedge.