Bitcoin's probability of reaching $100k by the end of the year is low, with only 9.5% of bidders in favor.The options market shows greater confidence in Bitcoin reaching $82k rather than $100k.Factors such as the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting, the US presidential election, and stable BTC volatility contribute to the subdued outlook.At present, Bitcoin is priced at $67,824, indicating a slow and steady upward trend that makes it highly unlikely to reach $100k by the end of 2024.