Robotics has seen investments worth $60bn over the course of five years, with the AV industry leading the way, offering drew excitement even from seasoned investors like Sequoia and Andreessen Horowitz.
Commercial success is measured differently from a successful pilot. Robotics founders must demonstrate production deployments and measurable ROI to investors.
Instead of going after the largest, most complicated problem like autonomous passenger cars, robotics founders today should focus on use cases with real value.
Incumbents can accelerate momentum in investment and help overcome investor reluctance on a still-unproven use case. Startups able to disrupt legacy business models will attract investment dollars.
Robotics is becoming more competitive, only startups with the strongest case can survive early investment rounds and attract later stage dollars from customers and acquirers.
AV unicorns like Aurora are disrupting the trucking industry, while Locus and RightHand Robotics are transforming how fulfillment operations are done.
Startups must have attractive unit economics associated with their offerings with more than 70% gross margin after subtracting BOM and support costs from lifetime revenues.
Identifying use cases where TAM is still significant is the sweet spot for a VC-backed robotics business.
Many companies are now pursuing use cases in constrained operating environments with greater fault tolerance, often with a human-in-the-loop element, which creates more technical feasibility.
Technological acceleration, labour shortages, stagnant productivity gains and investors' interests in the category are amongst the factors that work in favour of today's robotics founders.