With the advancement of high-throughput genotyping and sequencing technologies, a need arises to evaluate the role of genetic predictors in disease prediction.
A multi-marker predictiveness curve is proposed to measure the combined effects of multiple genetic variants in risk prediction models for complex diseases.
The predictiveness curve is connected with the ROC curve and Lorenz curve.
The predictiveness U is introduced as a summary index to evaluate the predictive ability of risk prediction models, and it outperformed other summary indices in terms of unbiasedness and robustness.