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Image Credit: Arxiv

An Uncertainty-Aware ED-LSTM for Probabilistic Suffix Prediction

  • Current approaches for suffix prediction in business processes focus on predicting a single, most likely suffix.
  • Proposed probabilistic suffix prediction offers a probability distribution of suffixes, addressing limitations of single predictions in uncertain or variable processes.
  • Uncertainty-Aware Encoder-Decoder LSTM (U-ED-LSTM) and Monte Carlo suffix sampling algorithm are key components of the proposed approach.
  • Evaluation of U-ED-LSTM shows good predictive performance and calibration on real-life event logs, highlighting the effectiveness of probabilistic suffix predictions in capturing uncertainties.

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