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Image Credit: Earthsky

Asteroid 2024 YR4 won’t hit in 2032, but it will be back

  • Asteroid 2024 YR4, initially feared to hit Earth in 2032, has been determined not to pose a threat.
  • Despite this, due to a unique orbital resonance phenomenon, asteroids like 2024 YR4 will cyclically return near Earth.
  • These asteroids, located in a specific orbital Kirkwood gap influenced by Jupiter's gravity, could potentially collide with planets like Earth.
  • Asteroid 887 Alinda, significantly larger than 2024 YR4 and capable of global damage, has an orbit that closely intersects Earth's.
  • The orbits of 2024 YR4 and 887 Alinda exhibit a resonant pattern with Jupiter, causing them to return regularly to Earth's vicinity.
  • The concept of Kirkwood gaps, where asteroids interact with Jupiter's gravitational pull, has been recognized since the late 1800s.
  • Asteroids like 2024 YR4 and 887 Alinda follow specific orbital patterns that lead them back to Earth every few years.
  • The orbit of 2024 YR4 will no longer bring it back every four years after a close approach to Earth in 2032, reducing the risk of impact.
  • Ongoing efforts, including the upcoming NEO surveyor mission, aim to detect and track hazardous asteroids more efficiently.
  • Maintaining vigilance for potentially impact-focused asteroids like 2024 YR4 is crucial for future planetary defense efforts.

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