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Asteroid has a very small chance of hitting Earth in 2032, but a collision could devastate a city
- Asteroid 2024 YR4, with a small chance of hitting Earth in 2032, was discovered in Chile in December 2024.
- Initial probability of impact fluctuated, reaching 3.1%, but current prediction by Esa suggests a 0.16% chance.
- Asteroids are remnants from the solar system formation, monitored by agencies like Nasa and Esa.
- 2024 YR4, estimated at 100m, could release 7.8 megatons of energy with devastating consequences if it hits a city.
- Nasa also mentioned a slight chance of 2024 YR4 hitting the Moon, creating a sizable crater.
- Complex factors like asteroid shape and albedo affect trajectory predictions making tracking challenging.
- Uncertainties about the asteroid's composition influence potential interactions with sunlight and trajectory alterations.
- Proposed strategies like spacecraft diversion or nuclear detonation to avert impact carry risks and ethical concerns.
- Continued monitoring, refinement of trajectory estimates, and potential deflection attempts are crucial in handling the threat.
- Possible impacts highlight the need for preparedness and strategic planning in dealing with asteroid threats.
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