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Betting Early, Holding Late: VC’s New Playbook

  • The funding stage dynamics are expected to gradually normalize by 2026.
  • Early-stage investment will likely remain strong, but those companies will eventually need healthy late-stage markets to fulfill their potential.
  • Public equity markets staying receptive and experiencing increased IPO readiness efforts may lead to a virtuous cycle of resumed exits, increased LP distributions, renewed LP commitments, and more capital for new VC funds across all stages.
  • However, if exits stall again, the late-stage crunch could persist, risking down-rounds, acquisitions, or shutdowns for many mature startups.

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