The funding stage dynamics are expected to gradually normalize by 2026.
Early-stage investment will likely remain strong, but those companies will eventually need healthy late-stage markets to fulfill their potential.
Public equity markets staying receptive and experiencing increased IPO readiness efforts may lead to a virtuous cycle of resumed exits, increased LP distributions, renewed LP commitments, and more capital for new VC funds across all stages.
However, if exits stall again, the late-stage crunch could persist, risking down-rounds, acquisitions, or shutdowns for many mature startups.