Product demand triggers in Africa may not be solely seasonal, but can also be behavioral, transitional, or aspirational.
A surge in demand for a durable household product was found to be influenced by life-stage transitions such as moving into a new home or setting up a first living space.
Forecasting demand based on social and economic milestones rather than weather can provide a broader opportunity for reshaping inventory planning and marketing strategies in Africa.
Relying solely on calendar-based forecasting may lead to missing important contextual factors influencing consumer decisions, presenting both a vulnerability and an opportunity for brands in Africa.