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Causal Dynamic Variational Autoencoder for Counterfactual Regression in Longitudinal Data

  • A new method called Causal DVAE (CDVAE) has been developed for estimating treatment effects over time in longitudinal data.
  • CDVAE assumes the presence of unobserved risk factors that only affect the sequence of outcomes, targeting Individual Treatment Effect (ITE) estimation with unobserved heterogeneity.
  • The model combines a Dynamic Variational Autoencoder (DVAE) framework with a weighting strategy using propensity scores to estimate counterfactual responses.
  • Evaluations show that CDVAE outperforms existing state-of-the-art models in accurately estimating ITE and capturing heterogeneity in longitudinal data.

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