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Decisions Under Uncertainty

  • Product management involves balancing action with uncertainty, as complete data and guaranteed outcomes are rare in the real world.
  • Product managers make decisions despite uncertainty by prioritizing risks based on importance and uncertainty levels.
  • Market, technical, and timing uncertainties are common challenges product managers face.
  • Decisions should be evaluated based on reversibility; acting fast on reversible decisions and taking more time for irreversible ones.
  • Product conversations without real user signals are considered as pure speculation.
  • Striking a balance between waiting for perfect data and making testable decisions is crucial for product managers.
  • Waiting for perfect data might result in missing the market window, while making small, testable decisions allows for learning on the go.

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