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Arxiv

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Image Credit: Arxiv

Diffusion models for probabilistic precipitation generation from atmospheric variables

  • Improving the representation of precipitation in Earth system models (ESMs) is critical for assessing the impacts of climate change and extreme events.
  • A novel approach based on generative machine learning is presented, which integrates a conditional diffusion model with a UNet architecture to generate accurate, high-resolution global daily precipitation fields.
  • The model provides ensemble predictions, capturing uncertainties in precipitation, and does not require manual fine-tuning.
  • By leveraging interactions between global prognostic variables, the approach offers a computationally efficient alternative to conventional schemes for modeling complex precipitation patterns.

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