<ul><li>The total install base for the U.S. mobile driver’s license (mDL) market is expected to reach 143 million by 2030, up from 21.73 million in 2025, reflecting the growing momentum around REAL ID and mobile driver’s license compliance.</li><li>This growth is driven by the REAL ID-compliant requirement for domestic air travel, third-party digital wallet providers offering their mDLs for free, and the adoption of the EU model by creating an all-encompassing government credential digital wallet.</li><li>ABI Research forecasts that by the end of 2030, 40 U.S. states will have implemented mobile driver’s licenses independently or through third-party digital wallet providers, with mDLs being integrated as alternatives to physical licenses for law enforcement and age verification purposes.</li><li>In Europe, the European Union has approved the eIDAS 2.0 regulation, requiring each member state to offer a European Digital Identity Wallet (EUDI Wallet) by 2026, which can include mDLs, health records, diplomas, and more.</li></ul>

Digital Wallets and Air Travel Push U.S. Mobile IDs to 143M by 2030

Discover more