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Image Credit: Physicsworld

European centre celebrates 50 years at the forefront of weather forecasting

  • The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) focuses on enhancing weather forecasting accuracy for weeks, months, seasons, and annual predictions.
  • ECMWF uses reanalysis and data assimilation techniques to combine short-range forecasts with atmospheric observations from various sources like satellites, ground stations, and weather balloons.
  • Satellite measurements, such as those from the EarthCARE satellite, assist ECMWF in improving cloud, aerosol, and precipitation modeling.
  • ECMWF integrates new satellite data with modeling techniques to create more accurate forecasts and improve understanding of cloud physics.
  • Advanced supercomputers and diverse observational data streams support ECMWF's forecast accuracy improvements.
  • The ECMWF is involved in creating digital twins for weather-induced and geophysical extremes, as well as climate change adaptation, using enhanced modeling and data assimilation methods.
  • Digital twins incorporate sea, atmosphere, land, and other elements at a resolution currently unattainable and pave the way for advanced forecasting capabilities.
  • ECMWF's strategic emphasis on machine learning and AI aims to enhance data-driven methods alongside established physics-based modeling for better forecasting.
  • Innovation like the Artificial Intelligence Forecasting System (AIFS) and Probability of Fire model show ECMWF's progress in machine learning applications for forecasting.
  • As a mission-driven organization, ECMWF's work in atmospheric physics, environmental science, and big data contributes to societal and economic benefits through cutting-edge research and weather predictions.

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