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Image Credit: Arxiv

From Point to probabilistic gradient boosting for claim frequency and severity prediction

  • Gradient boosting algorithms have become popular in actuarial applications for their superior predictive performance.
  • A comprehensive study compares various gradient boosting algorithms, including GBM, XGBoost, DART, LightGBM, CatBoost, EGBM, PGBM, XGBoostLSS, cyclic GBM, and NGBoost.
  • The study assesses their performance on claim frequency and severity prediction using different datasets.
  • LightGBM and XGBoostLSS are found to be computationally efficient, while EGBM achieves competitive predictive performance with interpretability.

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